Japan's Burma Miscalculation

In 1942 the Japanese Fifteenth Army overwhelmed the Allied forces defending Burma. However, in just two short years the Allied forces, spearheaded by the British Fourteenth Army, shattered the Fifteenth Army. The purpose of this study is to examine how and why the situation in Burma radically changed. The investigation frames the Burma campaign, using the three criteria of massed effects at the decisive point, air superiority, and operational reach. The elements are used to assess quantitative changes to the Japanese Fifteenth and British Fourteenth Armies and to evaluate the Japanese decision to conduct Operation U-Go. The study concludes that the Japanese decision to launch Operation U-Go was detrimental to the Fifteenth Army’s Burma campaign, and presented FM Slim an opportunity for victory in the theater. It describes how advantages in the three criteria transitioned from the Japanese possession in 1942, to the British in 1944. Furthermore, the study underscores the importance and relationship of elements of operational art
to military operations. The Fifteenth Army’s campaign demonstrates what can result when military planners fail to appreciate the linkage between the elements of operational art and their effect on combat operations. 
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